According to @OnchainDataNerd, two newly active wallets placed sizable YES wagers almost simultaneously on Polymarket’s Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027 market, with one spending $47,760 at 17 cents and another $33,999 at 15 cents, and the bettors are listed as Goopah and AmericanImperialism, source: @OnchainDataNerd on X, Jan 10, 2026. According to @OnchainDataNerd, the combined stake totals about $81,759 and would return $467,199 if the contract resolves YES under Polymarket’s payout rules, source: @OnchainDataNerd on X, Jan 10, 2026. According to Polymarket documentation, binary market prices reflect implied probabilities, so entries at 15-17 cents indicate roughly 15-17 percent market-implied odds at the time of execution, source: Polymarket documentation. According to Polymarket documentation, markets are settled in USDC on the Polygon network, meaning these positions are USDC-denominated and executed on Polygon, source: Polymarket documentation.

According to @OnchainLens, a newly created wallet deposited $15,449 into Polymarket and bought YES on the market 'Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?' with a stated maximum payout of $102,992 if resolved YES, source: Onchain Lens on X, Jan 8, 2026. The stake-to-payout ratio implies an entry price near $0.15 per YES share (~15% implied probability) and roughly a 6.67x potential return, based on the reported numbers and Polymarket’s pricing convention where price approximates probability, source: Onchain Lens on X, Jan 8, 2026; Polymarket documentation on pricing mechanics. Polymarket markets settle in USDC on Polygon, so the flow reflects on-chain USDC activity rather than fiat, which is relevant for tracking liquidity and order flow in prediction markets, source: Polymarket Help Center and documentation. The post provides no evidence of insider information beyond wallet recency and trade size, so traders should treat this as a single large position absent corroborating disclosures, source: Onchain Lens on X, Jan 8, 2026.